Will Ursula von der Leyen complete her second term as President of the European Commission without facing a no-confidence vote from the European Parliament before December 31, 2026?

Will the European Commission propose any new directive or regulation on energy or climate between June 10 and June 20, 2026?

Will the European Commission initiate a formal infringement procedure against a member state for rule-of-law violations between June 10 and June 20, 2026?

Will the EU open the first formal accession negotiation chapters with Ukraine before December 31, 2026?

Will the United Kingdom and the European Union conclude a formal defence or security cooperation agreement before December 31, 2026?

Will the UK GDP achieve an annual growth rate above 1.5% in 2026 (per preliminary ONS data)?