Energy TransitionClosed
Jun 20, 12:00 PM
Will global installed solar PV capacity exceed 2,000 GW according to IEA data published before June 20, 2026?
Vote distribution
Yes, will exceed 2,000 GW56%
No, will remain below44%
Verification source: https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2025
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🔮 Open questions
Will any G20 government announce a new renewable energy target or green investment package over $10 billion before June 20, 2026?
Will global installed wind energy capacity (onshore and offshore) exceed 1,500 gigawatts (GW) before December 31, 2026?
Will the global market share of electric vehicles (EVs) exceed 25% of all new car sales in 2026?
Will China's new energy vehicle (NEV) market share exceed 50% of total new car sales in 2026?
📂 See also
📊 Confidence levels
- 💭 +10/-218 (40%)
- 🔍 +25/-1010 (22%)
- ⚡ +50/-2512 (27%)
- 💎 +100/-505 (11%)