US JobsClosed
Jun 19, 12:30 PM
Will US initial jobless claims exceed 240,000 in the week ending June 14, 2026?
Vote distribution
Yes, will exceed 240,00051%
No, will be 240,000 or fewer49%
Verification source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
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🔮 Open questions
Will the US unemployment rate published by the BLS in June 2026 be above 4.2%?
How many US non-farm payrolls (NFP) will be created in June 2026 (data published first Friday of July)?
In what range will the US unemployment rate be for June 2026 (data published in July)?
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% at any point before December 31, 2026?
📂 See also
📊 Confidence levels
- 💭 +10/-219 (27%)
- 🔍 +25/-1023 (33%)
- ⚡ +50/-2515 (21%)
- 💎 +100/-5013 (19%)