Europe Migration CrisisClosed
Jun 16, 11:59 PM
Will irregular arrivals on European shores via the Mediterranean exceed 10,000 people in the week of June 10–16, 2026?
Vote distribution
Yes, more than 10,000 irregular Mediterranean arrivals that week40%
No, 10,000 or fewer Mediterranean arrivals that week60%
Verification source: https://frontex.europa.eu/media-centre/news/
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🔮 Open questions
Will the European Parliament approve any new migration and asylum law or regulation before June 20, 2026?
Will the EU begin the effective implementation (operational, not just legislative) of the new European Pact on Migration and Asylum before December 31, 2026?
In what range will the total number of migrants crossing the English Channel in small boats to the UK fall in 2026?
Will the IOM document more than 2,500 migrant deaths in the Mediterranean Sea during 2026?
📂 See also
📊 Confidence levels
- 💭 +10/-22 (40%)
- 🔍 +25/-103 (60%)
- ⚡ +50/-250 (0%)
- 💎 +100/-500 (0%)