US-China RivalryClosed
Sep 1, 12:00 AM
Will the US impose new advanced semiconductor export restrictions on China before August 31, 2026?
Vote distribution
Yes50%
No50%
Verification source: https://www.bis.doc.gov/index.php/regulations/export-administration-regulations-ear
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🔮 Open questions
Will the presidents of the US and China meet at the G7 or in a bilateral encounter before June 20, 2026?
Will China surpass the US in the number of international (PCT) patent applications filed in H1 2026 according to WIPO data?
Will the US and Chinese presidents meet at a formal bilateral summit before October 31, 2026?
📂 See also
📊 Confidence levels
- 💭 +10/-263 (28%)
- 🔍 +25/-1077 (34%)
- ⚡ +50/-2555 (24%)
- 💎 +100/-5031 (14%)