Who will win the Brazilian presidential election in October 2026?

Vote distribution

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT, re-election)32%

Jair Bolsonaro or right-wing candidate19%

Center or new party candidate33%

Another candidate16%

Verification source: https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/brazil/

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Will there be a runoff in the Brazilian presidential election (no candidate exceeds 50% in the first round on October 4, 2026)?