SpaceXClosed
Sep 1, 12:00 AM
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully complete a full orbital flight carrying an actual payload before August 31, 2026?
Vote distribution
Yes52%
No48%
Verification source: https://www.spacex.com/vehicles/starship/
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🔮 Open questions
Will SpaceX conduct a Starship launch (test or operational mission) before June 20, 2026?
Will SpaceX complete more than 3 Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy rocket launches between June 10–20, 2026?
Will SpaceX launch the first crewed Starship flight (with humans on board) before December 31, 2026?
Will SpaceX surpass 10,000 active Starlink satellites in orbit before December 31, 2026?
How many orbital launches will SpaceX conduct during 2026?
📂 See also
📊 Confidence levels
- 💭 +10/-273 (29%)
- 🔍 +25/-10101 (40%)
- ⚡ +50/-2551 (20%)
- 💎 +100/-5030 (12%)