Will NASA's FIRMS satellite detect more than 100 active fire hotspots in Australia during the week of June 10–16, 2026?

Vote distribution

Yes, more than 100 active fire hotspots will be detected in Australia that week48%

No, 100 or fewer hotspots will be detected in Australia that week52%

Verification source: https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/

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Will the NSW Rural Fire Service (NSW RFS) activate at least one 'Emergency Warning' (maximum alert level) for a bushfire between June 10 and June 20, 2026?

🔮 Open questions

Will the NSW Rural Fire Service (NSW RFS) activate at least one 'Emergency Warning' (maximum alert level) for a bushfire between June 10 and June 20, 2026?
Will Australia declare a national state of emergency due to wildfires (equivalent to the 2019-20 "Black Summer") before December 31, 2026?

📂 See also

Amazon Deforestation
Europe Wildfires
North America Wildfires

📊 Confidence levels

💭 +10/-212 (30%)
🔍 +25/-1013 (33%)
⚡ +50/-257 (18%)
💎 +100/-508 (20%)