Global RecessionClosed

Jun 20, 06:00 PM

Will the IMF revise its global growth forecast for 2026 downward in its June 2026 update?

Vote distribution

Yes, will revise downward67%

No, will hold or revise upward33%

Verification source: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO

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Will the NBER declare that the US has entered a recession before June 20, 2026?

🔮 Open questions

Will the NBER declare that the US has entered a recession before June 20, 2026?
Will the IMF forecast global economic growth below 2% (global recession threshold) in its October 2026 World Economic Outlook?

📂 See also

📊 Confidence levels

💭 +10/-21 (33%)
🔍 +25/-102 (67%)
⚡ +50/-250 (0%)
💎 +100/-500 (0%)